It was a strong start to 2025, with both equities and fixed income delivering broadly positive returns. We saw a change from the recent norm in equity markets with Europe outperforming the US and value stocks beating their growth counterparts. The ‘America First’ policies of President Trump helped US equities, but the emergence of DeepSeek, a new Chinese artificial intelligence (AI) model, impacted US tech stocks.
Fixed income markets experienced increased volatility in January due to Trump’s proposed mix of tariffs and tax cuts. These fuelled expectations of higher inflation, leading to rising bond yields globally. The UK also faced challenges of its own. Indications of slower economic growth raised worries about public finances, which caused significant volatility in gilt yields.